ETF IDMM Market Structure Heat Map — 7/17/2026
Gap Down Open → Limited Downside Expansion After Initial Displacement
Today’s ETF structure was dominated by gap-down openings, creating a different market condition than a typical Open Inside session.
The IDMM framework begins with the relationship between the Open and the mathematically defined ML/MS levels. When price opens displaced away from the prior range, the question becomes whether the market continues the initial move or mean-reverts back toward the Open.
Current Snapshot (12:00 ET):
ML1 Activity
ML1 Reached: 11 ETFs
Trading ≥ Open after ML1: 9 / 11 (81.8%)
Currently Extended to ML2+: 3 / 11 (27.3%)
MS1 Activity
MS1 Reached: 3 ETFs
Trading ≤ Open after MS1: 1 / 3 (33.3%)
Currently Extended to MS2+: 0 / 3
Reversal Structure
ML/MS Reversals: 2
🔹 The majority of ETFs opened with downside displacement, but the expected continuation lower was limited.
🔹 Only a small number of ETFs reached the downside IDMM levels after the gap.
🔹 Upside recovery behavior was more prominent among the ETFs that reached ML1, with most remaining above the Open afterward.
🔹 The market is showing a pattern of initial gap displacement followed by consolidation rather than broad directional expansion.
This is another example of why measuring the market from the Open as a structural reference point is useful.
The question is not simply whether the market moved down at the open — it is whether that displacement produced measurable continuation, reversal, or return-to-open behavior.
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